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Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.

The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,002.37.Party Committee of CITIC Group: Firmly support the CPC Central Committee's decision to punish Xu Zuo. According to the news of CITIC Group official micro on December 13th, recently, the Party Committee of CITIC Group held a meeting to convey the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection to punish Xu Zuo. Xi Guohua, secretary and chairman of the Party Committee, presided over the meeting and made a speech, and members of the Party Committee made statements. Comrades attending the meeting unanimously expressed their firm support for the decision of the CPC Central Committee and the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.

The financing balance of the two cities increased by 6.856 billion yuan. As of December 12, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 961.758 billion yuan, an increase of 2.592 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 916.865 billion yuan, an increase of 4.264 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,878.623 billion yuan, an increase of 6.856 billion yuan over the previous trading day.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.Treasury bond futures opened, with 30-year main contracts rising by 0.48%, 10-year main contracts rising by 0.36%, 5-year main contracts rising by 0.25% and 2-year main contracts rising by 0.05%.